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Will Google Gemini outperform GPT-5 on MMLU benchmark?
This market resolves YES if any version of Google's Gemini model achieves a higher score than OpenAI's GPT-5 on the MMLU benchmark by December 31, 2026.
Closes: December 31, 2026
29%
YES
71%
NO
Probability Over Time
Current: 29% YES
Recent Trades
TimeSidePriceSharesValue
13:59:26YES0.29720$209
13:57:41NO0.28420$118
13:54:26NO0.30124$37
13:52:15YES0.28358$100
13:56:23YES0.29183$53
13:52:07YES0.27144$39
13:55:03NO0.28477$134
13:42:06YES0.29454$132
13:50:07NO0.30456$137
13:46:11YES0.31521$162
13:44:22YES0.28839$235
13:43:03NO0.28324$91
13:50:01NO0.28363$102
13:50:45NO0.2884$24
13:33:00NO0.27354$96
$
Current Price29.0¢
Shares~344.83
Est. Payout$344.83
Potential Profit$244.83 (244.8%)
Balance: $9,247.50
Market Info
Volume$760K
Liquidity$140K
CategoryTech
CreatedMar 11, 2026
ClosesDecember 31, 2026
#AI#Google#OpenAI#LLM