Markets๐Ÿ—ณ PoliticsWill there be a Ukraine-Russia ceasefireโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ—ณ Politics๐Ÿ”ฅ Trending

Will there be a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire by July 2026?

This market resolves YES if a formal ceasefire agreement is signed between Ukraine and Russia and holds for at least 30 days before July 1, 2026.

Closes: July 1, 2026

37%

YES

63%

NO

Probability Over Time

Current: 41% YES

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesValue
13:59:26YES0.38804$306
13:57:13YES0.35421$147
13:57:03YES0.37364$135
13:54:11NO0.36422$152
13:57:11YES0.36694$250
13:53:10YES0.3960$23
13:47:00YES0.37190$70
13:48:30YES0.35569$199
13:53:07YES0.38612$233
13:44:30YES0.36479$172
13:51:09YES0.38721$274
13:37:45NO0.36715$257
13:38:38NO0.36442$159
13:31:19YES0.38819$311
13:39:40YES0.3567$23
$
Current Price37.0ยข
Shares~270.27
Est. Payout$270.27
Potential Profit$170.27 (170.3%)

Balance: $9,247.50

Market Info

Volume$8.9M
Liquidity$1.6M
CategoryPolitics
CreatedMar 11, 2026
ClosesJuly 1, 2026
#Ukraine#Russia#War#Politics